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Trading Knowledge trading Wednesday, March 5, 2014
Trading Knowledge
Trading Knowledge
trading
Mar 5, 2014
Accumulated knowledge from blogs, people, magazines, etc. over the last year.
Most importantly
- Volume is the cause for price
- Breakouts have a bigger volume and need confirmation on the second day with more than average volume afterwards
- Volume and overlayed MA20 (because there are 20 trading days / month)
- keep it simple with charts: price and volume are the most important
- concentrate on current investments, not past or future ones
- only look at the daily chart, not 30 mins, 5 mins or anything. it makes you crazy
- breaking resistance needs a follow through day, i.e. another day up
- in a bull market a normal pullback from the highs is a 50% retracement
- always look at daily, weekly, monthly to spot resistance / support points
- Watch Volume on the daily chart to compare it better with other volumes on other days
- Read news and find trading ideas 6:00 - 7:30am (Europe), for sure before the trading day starts
- Always keep some cash for short term opportunities
- You don’t need to trade every day! You don’t need to trade every day!
- If a company publishes earnings and the stock doesn’t move much it might be that most people already own the stock. It could go down.
- Make sure you know who publishes the information, who’s behind the news
- Stay away from penny stocks
- Use a stock scanner the day before trading to find potential candidates for trading
Key economic indicators
(always check for the general market direction)
- Interest rate (price of money): if interest rates are low it’s good for the stock market
- Inflation: High inflation is bad for the economy. Deflation is bad as well. Most sectors will do badly
- GDP: steadily rising gdp is good for corporate earnings. 2 consecutive periods of falling gdp is called a recession
- unemployment rate
- consumer confidence (the less consumer confidence the less spending happens)
- us house prices
- Most important indicator: ISM Index (very good predictor of how the economy will be in 3 - 6 months): above 50 it is expanding, below 50 it is contracting)